Parties Are Electable, Not Candidates

substack.com· · 7d
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Adam Bonica's On Data and Democracy post argues that parties, not candidates, are electable, pointing to the 2026 midterms, where corruption was voters' top issue, Democrats outmobilized Republicans for the first time in a generation, and candidates across the ideological spectrum performed alike. He credits his fundraising-based DIME SML model with outperforming poll-based forecasts, forecasts the incoming House Democrats will shake up the caucus, and recommends the party make tackling corruption its defining task.

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