Leaked Rosstat records point to at least 450,000 Russian deaths in the Ukraine war
Summary
- Leaked records from Rosstat, Russia's state statistics agency, indicate at least 450,000 Russians, most of them soldiers, died in the Ukraine war up to August 2026.
- The records were obtained by hacking groups Cyber Partisans and Silent Crow; analysts say the data looks authentic but it has not been independently verified.
- Moscow does not publish its military death toll; its last official count, in September 2022, claimed fewer than 6,000 troops killed.
- One investigation estimates the toll will settle at about 550,000 once late paperwork is counted; some analysts put the current toll nearer 500,000.
- NATO estimates Russia is losing more than 40,000 troops killed or seriously wounded each month, and October 2026 was reported as the deadliest month, at about 54,400 casualties.
Reactions
- Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov said reports of such casualty figures cannot and should not be viewed as reliable information.
- Rosstat confirmed cyberattacks between 29 October and 1 November 2026 but said its databases were not compromised and no data leaked.
- Janis Kluge said the leaked Rosstat database is authentic and the Russian death toll is probably closer to 500,000 than 400,000.
- NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte said Russia's October losses may have exceeded 50,000 dead or seriously wounded in one month, more than US losses over 14 years of the Vietnam War.
- Researcher Maria Vyushkova said the Kremlin's recruitment policies amount to the extermination of some of Russia's smallest ethnic groups.
- Silent Crow estimated 450,100 Russian service members killed, while the Cyber Partisans verified at least 393,881 battlefield deaths with stricter parameters.
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An investigation concluded that once late paperwork is counted, Russia's death toll in Ukraine up to August 2026 will settle at about 550,000.
Russia was reported to have lost almost half a million lives in its war on Ukraine.
NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte said Russia is losing more than 40,000 troops killed and seriously wounded in Ukraine every month, and October's losses may have climbed above 50,000.
A casualty tracker estimated Russia lost 2,980 soldiers in a single day on 8 November, the most ever, putting Russia on pace to lose 71,000 by the end of November.
It was reported that nearly 392,700 death certificates in Rosstat's registers explicitly linked fatalities to the war between 24 February 2022 and the end of August 2026.
The leaked data showed 412,576 death certificates explicitly linked to the war, and in Buryatia, Tuva and Zabaykalsky Krai war deaths accounted for about a third of deaths among men aged 18 to 49, against about 10 percent in Moscow and St Petersburg.
Silent Crow estimated 450,100 Russian service members killed since February 2022, while the Cyber Partisans verified at least 393,881 battlefield fatalities; Moscow's last official count, in September 2022, claimed fewer than 6,000 killed.
An analysis estimated the combined Russian death toll at 493,400 to 495,900 when separatist fighters, Wagner mercenaries and North Korean troops are counted, with about 18,280 deaths registered monthly over the latest six months, a 26 percent rise on a year earlier.
The leaked figures make the war in Ukraine Russia's deadliest conflict since World War II, and the fourth most common cause of death in Russia, with 72 percent of deaths registered in the so-called Donetsk People's Republic.
The hacker groups said on 7 November that records from Rosstat's Demography database indicate between 394,000 and 450,000 war-related deaths since February 2022, after collecting data for about six months; the independent outlet Mediazona had separately identified 285,881 killed.
Sources newest first
- Russian casualties ‘reach 450,000’: What that means for the Ukraine war
Leaked records from Rosstat, Russia's state statistics agency, suggest at least 450,000 Russians, most of them soldiers, died in the Ukraine war up to August 2026, a toll Moscow does not officially publish. Hacking groups that obtained the data and analysts including Janis Kluge say the records are authentic, and the Financial Times estimates the toll will reach about 550,000 once late paperwork is counted.
NATO secretary general compares monthly Russian losses in Ukraine to US losses over 14 years of Vietnam WarAn article by European Pravda reports NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte's speech at the Atlantic Future Forum: Rutte says Russia loses over 40,000 troops killed or wounded monthly — more than the 56,000 US losses over 14 years of the Vietnam War — and that October may have topped 50,000. He also says Putin is failing on the battlefield, targeting Ukrainian civilians and infrastructure, and waging hybrid attacks across Europe.
Russia to Lose Over 70,000 Soldiers this MonthJake Broe's war update argues Russia is on pace to lose 71,000 soldiers in November after a record 2,980 in one day, and cites the Rosstat leak, released by a Belarusian hacker group, as showing 450,000 Russians killed since the war began. He also reports Ukraine's drone strikes on the Kirishi refinery and other Russian targets, the Rubicon base strike, Russia's killing of Ukrainian civilians and children's facilities, Hegseth's impeachment, and Moldova's new power line to Romania.
Ukraine war: 400,000 Russian deaths, the toll Vladimir Putin tried to hideLe Monde reports that hackers breached Russia's statistics agency Rosstat, uncovering a figure the Kremlin had kept secret: nearly 400,000 Russian deaths from the war since the February 2022 invasion. Bloomberg cited the Belarusian Cyber Partisans and pro-Ukrainian Silent Crow collective, who analyzed 11 million death records, many explicitly tied to the 'special military operation', shelling, or drones.
- Guerre en Ukraine : 400 000 morts russes, le bilan que Vladimir Poutine voulait cacher
Le Monde reports that hackers — the Belarusian Cyberpartisans and the pro-Ukrainian collective Silent Crow — penetrated Russia's Rosstat statistics agency and analyzed some 11 million death certificates, which Bloomberg cites for nearly 400,000 Russian deaths since the February 2022 invasion, a figure the Kremlin had kept secret. The certificates mention the "special military operation," bombardments, and drones.
More than 400,000 Russians killed fighting in Ukraine war, leaked data suggestsThe Guardian reports on leaked Rosstat death records suggesting more than 400,000 Russians — 412,576 by certificates explicitly linked to the war — have been killed in Ukraine since the 2022 invasion, data obtained by the hacker groups Cyber Partisans and Silent Crow; Russia confirmed the hack but denies sensitive information leaked. Janis Kluge says the toll is probably closer to 500,000, and the data show losses falling hardest on poorer regions like Buryatia and Tuva, with US-brokered peace talks due in Abu Dhabi.
Kremlin shaken as leak exposes 450,100 Russian soldiers killed - AOLHackers from the pro-Ukrainian collective Silent Crow and the Belarusian Cyber Partisans breached Russia's Rosstat statistics bureau, and the leaked mortality records lead Silent Crow to estimate 450,100 Russian service members killed since February 2022 — far above Moscow's last official count of under 6,000, given in September 2022. The disclosure comes as Russia's October losses hit record levels and strikes on Kyiv wound nine ahead of US-mediated talks in Abu Dhabi.
450,000 RUSSIAN DEAD | Putin's War Is Bleeding Russia Dry, But Peace Is Still a Long Way OffShaun Pinner's Substack article argues records leaked from Russia's own statistics agency after a cyberattack claimed by Belarusian hackers point to roughly 450,000 Russian dead — a toll the Kremlin, which has disclosed nothing since September 2022, dismisses as unreliable — even as its strikes on Ukraine's power grid, ruled crimes against humanity by a UN inquiry, left some 600,000 people in Dnipropetrovsk without electricity. Pinner warns another brutal winter and a likely Russian spring offensive could push peace beyond summer 2027, with trilateral talks set for Abu Dhabi on 10–11 November.
Hackers Claim Leaked Rosstat Records Reveal Up to 450,000 Russian War Deathskyivpost.com· 6d
Hackers Belarusian Cyberpartisans and Silent Crow say leaked Rosstat records show up to 450,000 deaths among people fighting for Russia or linked to the war from February 2022 to August 2026, a figure the Kyiv Post notes is unverified, while Mediazona separately counts 285,881 Russian military deaths. A drone strike has also damaged a key bridge in Russia's Rostov region.
Analysis of Russian data leak: 495,900 dead Russian soldiersMalcontent News's analysis of a hacked Rosstat data leak puts verified Russian deaths at up to 495,900, with most losses in Donetsk Oblast and an average killed soldier aged 35–44, alongside 111,952 recorded Ukrainian killed in action. It assesses Russia faces a third fuel crisis and that no durable ceasefire will come before the second half of 2027.
Official Data Shows 450,000 Russians Killed in War, Death Rate Accelerating – Rosstat Leaks - The Moscow TimesThe Moscow Times reports on leaked Rosstat data indicating, per official figures, over 450,000 Russian war deaths in Ukraine since 2022, a figure analysts say makes it Russia's deadliest conflict since World War II. The data, stolen by hacking groups and partially unverifiable, shows deaths climbing yearly and falling hardest on Russia's ethnic republics, whose recruits researcher Maria Vyushkova says the Kremlin's policies amount to exterminating.
Hackers claim leaked Russian data reveals up to 450,000 war-related deaths in UkraineA Kyiv Independent article reports that hackers Belarusian Cyberpartisans and Silent Crow claim Russian death records stolen from Rosstat's Demography database reveal 394,000–450,000 deaths since 2022 among people fighting on Russia's side or linked to the war. The paper could not verify the figures; Rosstat denies a leak, and Mediazona's verified count stands at 285,881 killed.
Russia Lost 2,500 in a Single Day (NEW RECORD)Jake Broe's war update reports Russia's daily losses hitting a record 2,500 and October as its deadliest month, with an estimated 54,400 soldiers lost. He covers Ukraine's strikes on oil refineries and data centers, Russia's mass attacks on Ukraine's energy grid, and the Alleski ceasefire evacuation, and hopes the midterms bring Democrats checks on Trump.
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Russia now sends mobilized men to front in 5 to 7 days because its losses outrun its recruits, Ukrainian commander says - Euromaidan Presseuromaidanpress.com· 7h
Euromaidan Press reports Ukrainian commander Yurii Fedorenko's claim that Russia now sends mobilized men to the front within five to seven days because its losses outrun its recruits, and that it is recruiting paid foreigners worldwide. He urges attention to where Moscow finds funds to wage war, and the article notes Ukraine's drone-focused Achilles unit hit more than 57,000 Russian targets.
Ukraine claims record 3,000 Russian casualties in one day as war drags onAl Jazeera reports on Ukraine's claims of record Russian casualties — a reported 2,980 killed or wounded on 9 November 2026 and over 26,000 in November's first ten days — as US, Ukrainian and Russian delegations held their first peace talks since February in Abu Dhabi. The article also covers Ukraine's strikes on Russian refineries, missile plants and warships, and Kyiv's calls for stronger security guarantees.
Why Russian losses in Ukraine are surging — againA Kyiv Independent article by Jimmy Rushton reports that Russian losses in Ukraine are surging again, with October 2026 the deadliest month since the full-scale invasion began and a record 2,980 troops lost in a single day on November 8. The article ties the surge to a pattern Moscow has repeated before diplomatic efforts like the Abu Dhabi talks, citing the 1st Azov Corps on inflexible "take-by-date" orders around Dobropillia and Dr. Jade McGlynn on past offensive-then-negotiate timing, and notes drones cause about 80% of casualties on both sides.
The Kremlin can hide the death toll. It can’t hide the graves.politico.eu· 2d
Politico reports on Russia's crackdown on people photographing soldiers' graves, a method independent journalists like Mediazona and the BBC's Russian service have used to document losses — nearly 283,000 named dead on their Russia 200 database — that the Kremlin calls a state secret. Dozens face treason charges in closed trials, and analysts say concealment helps recruit soldiers.
Russia loses 2,580 soldiers over past dayUkraine's General Staff said on Facebook that Russia lost 2,580 soldiers killed and wounded over the past day, according to Ukrainska Pravda. The General Staff's running estimates since 24 February 2022 include about 1,614,180 personnel, 12,468 tanks, and 604,910 UAVs, with the outlet noting the figures are still being confirmed.
Russia Just Lost Nearly 23,000 Troops in 10 Days. Putin Still Plans to Mobilize Moreunited24media.com· 5d
United24 Media reports that Ukraine's General Staff puts Russian losses at 22,880 troops killed or wounded in 10 days of November 2026, with daily tolls repeatedly topping 2,000, while Ukraine holds positions around Kupiansk, Huliaipole, and Dobropillia, and Kostiantynivka remains outside Russian control after nearly a year of fighting. The outlet says the Kremlin, despite losses exceeding 1.5 million since the full-scale invasion began, is preparing covert mobilization that could recruit up to 300,000 troops in each of 2026 and 2027, and concludes negotiations should be approached from strength rather than concessions.
Russia imposes gasoline sales restrictions amid Ukrainian oil refinery attacks, Russian media reportThe Kyiv Independent reports, citing Russian media, that Rosneft has imposed gasoline sales limits in multiple Russian regions — including 30 liters per customer in Krasnoyarsk Krai — after Ukraine ramped up drone strikes that Agentstvo says hit four refineries since October 30, and Leningrad Oblast's governor confirmed a drone attack on the Kirishi refinery. The article also rounds up war news: 400,000 claimed Russian casualties, Zaporizhzhia plant power loss and restoration, and Abu Dhabi peace talks.
2 soldiers a minute — Russia suffers record losses on Nov. 8, General Staff saysThe Kyiv Independent reports Ukraine's General Staff saying Russia suffered a record 2,980 casualties in a single day on November 8, 2026 — "One less invader every 29 seconds" — bringing its claimed total to 1,609,380 troops since February 2022, after October became the war's deadliest month. Hacker groups' leaked Rosstat records suggest 394,000 to 450,000 war-linked deaths, while the roundup also covers a drone strike on Russia's Kinef refinery, the Zaporizhzhia plant's temporary power loss, Abu Dhabi peace talks, and Trump saying the war will "end soon" because of him.
Moldova 'buys zero Russian gas,' launches new power line to EUThe Kyiv Independent reports Moldova's break from Russian energy: President Maia Sandu announced on November 8, 2026 that Moldova buys zero Russian gas as the 158-kilometer Vulcanesti–Chisinau power line launches, linking the country to Europe's grid through Romania as part of its EU ambitions. She says two more lines to Romania are on their way; an EU official calls Washington's proposal to resume Russian gas exports through a U.S. intermediary unlikely to be accepted, and Donald Trump forecasts the war will end soon because of him.
Russia loses 2,980 soldiers over past dayUkrainska Pravda reports the General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine's estimates of Russian combat losses: 2,980 soldiers over the past day, bringing total personnel losses to 1,609,380 since 24 February 2022. The same figures put losses at 12,462 tanks, 52,112 artillery systems, and 602,020 drones, with 4 tanks, 68 artillery systems, and 1,843 drones lost in the latest day.
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, November 8, 2026understandingwar.org· 5d
The Institute for the Study of War's November 8 assessment reports a second night of Russian missile and drone strikes on Ukraine's energy infrastructure, causing widespread outages including 600,000 people without power in Dnipro City and Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, and assesses Russia's Winter 2026-2027 strike campaign aims to degrade Ukrainian energy security. Hacker groups claim Rosstat data records over 440,982 Russian servicemember deaths, Russian forces made no advances along most of the front, and Ukrainian officials say Russia used the limited Oleshky ceasefire to rotate over 1,000 personnel and move supplies closer to the Dnipro River.
Russia Suffers Record 16,130 Weekly Casualties, General Staff ReportsThe Kyiv Post reports Ukraine's General Staff claiming a record 16,130 Russian casualties between Nov. 1 and 7, 2026 — more than 2,300 a day — as Ukrainian forces struck refineries, Iskander launchers, and an Oryol microelectronics plant. It also cites Zelensky's October figures and a study estimating 1.4–2.1 million total Russian casualties since February 2022.
Russia to replace Norway in ice hockey championship as more countries vow to boycott gamesThe Kyiv Independent reports that Russia will return to the 2027 World Junior Hockey Championship in Canada after a Court of Arbitration for Sport ruling found the IIHF's exclusion of Russian athletes unlawful, with Norway dropping to Division 1A and Switzerland, Canada, and other federations refusing to face Russia — the IIHF disagrees with the ruling. The article also covers Russian strikes on Ukraine, Moscow detentions, and hacker claims of up to 450,000 Russian war deaths.
A regiment a day: Russia lost 16,130 troops in a week, its worst week of the war by Ukraine’s count - Euromaidan PressEuromaidan Press reports Ukraine's General Staff claim that Russia lost 16,130 troops killed and wounded from 1 to 7 November 2026 — its worst week of the full-scale war, averaging a regiment a day — figures Kyiv says cannot be independently verified. Drone commander Robert Brovdi reported a record 751 troops killed or wounded by his pilots on 5 November, German Defense Minister Boris Pistorius gave a lower 30,000–40,000-a-month estimate, and three-way US-Ukraine-Russia talks are due in Abu Dhabi that week.
Moscow police detain over 200 people, reportedly forcing some to sign military contractsThe Kyiv Independent reports on Nov. 8, 2026, that Moscow police detained over 200 people, many minors, near the Kitay-Gorod metro station, with detainees saying adults were urged to sign Defense Ministry contracts and later reports of beatings and draft notices. Other news: Russian strikes killed 7 in Ukraine, hackers claim leaked Russian data shows up to 450,000 war deaths, Blumenthal demands new US negotiators, and Ryabkov joins upcoming peace talks in Abu Dhabi.
Weekend Update #210: Trump Has Stood Between Ukraine And Military SuccessIn Weekend Update #210, marking four years of the series, Phillips P. OBrien argues Trump has stood between Ukraine and military success: daily Ukrainian strikes on Russian refineries since 30 October, record October Russian losses he says exceed 50,000, and Russia slashing recruit bonuses up to 90% for lack of funds. He calls the 2026 midterms a decisive repudiation of Trump, forecasts Democratic control of both houses could bring tougher sanctions, restored aid to Ukraine, and curtailed Trump's ability to help Putin, and recommends Europe resist the administration's pressure while decoupling from it.
Russian attacks kill 5, injure 10 in Ukraine over the past day, striking Zaporizhzhia Oblast over 700 timesThe Kyiv Independent's daily war report covers Russian attacks that killed five and injured 10 across Ukraine over the past day, including a Kyiv ballistic missile strike, the Komyshuvakha death toll rising to 55, and 725 strikes on Zaporizhzhia Oblast per its governor. It also reports hacker groups' claim of up to 450,000 Russian war deaths, Italy's Tajani blaming a cyberattack on his Ukraine stance, Zelensky's warning of more SBU personnel decisions, Russia sending senior officials including Ryabkov to Abu Dhabi peace talks, and Belarus's 2027 hockey ban.
Russia loses 2,290 soldiers over past dayUkrainska Pravda reports that Ukraine's General Staff says Russia lost 2,290 soldiers over the past day, bringing its estimated total personnel losses since 24 February 2022 to about 1,606,400, along with losses of tanks, armoured vehicles, artillery systems, and drones. The site also reports the Kremlin saying Putin is willing to speak with Friedrich Merz and Emmanuel Macron, and the White House claiming Melania Trump has secured a ceasefire in Oleshky.
Senator Blumenthal to introduce legislation supporting Ukraine, calls for new US negotiators, Starlink controlsThe Kyiv Independent reports that Senator Richard Blumenthal, announcing legislation to support Ukraine, calls for new US negotiators — quoting that Trump needs "not fawning pawns" — and urging Congress to impose controls on Starlink and Starshield, citing Witkoff's praise of Putin as a "humanitarian." The roundup also notes the strike on Komyshuvakha has killed 55, Russian missiles hit Kyiv and substations across six oblasts, and leaked Russian data reportedly reveals up to 450,000 war deaths.
Russian Soldiers are Suddenly Being Wiped Out Like Never BeforeIn a YouTube commentary, Paul Warburg says Russia is suffering record losses in its war with Ukraine — a reported 2,250 casualties on 21 October 2026, a 54,400-casualty October, and a total above 1.6 million — with no territorial gain to show for it. He attributes Ukraine's advantage to drones and ground robots, and predicts Russia cannot replace its losses and will grow more desperate.
Russia’s land gains in Ukraine dwindle as its diesel ‘goes unsold’Al Jazeera reports that Russia's gains in Ukraine have dwindled to almost nothing in 2026 — 117.38 sq km against 5,304 sq km in 2025 — while Kyiv hit eight refineries in a week and stepped up long-range strikes against its cities. Under an October 9 Trump-Putin diesel deal, four tankers of Russian diesel have reportedly found no buyers, with Senator Blumenthal warning a shipper that only Congress can legalise the sales.
Russia loses 2,440 soldiers and 54 artillery systems over past dayUkrainska Pravda reports Ukraine's General Staff figures saying Russia lost 2,440 soldiers and 54 artillery systems over the past day, with total personnel losses reaching 1,601,830 since 24 February 2022. The General Staff also estimates daily losses of 2 tanks, 8 armoured combat vehicles, 6 air defence systems, 1,395 drones, and 673 vehicles and fuel tankers.
Washington attempts dealmaking, Moscow sticks with warmakingAndrew Chakhoyan's Kyiv Independent column argues Washington's compulsive dealmaking will not end Russia's warmaking, noting the Russia sanctions law with tariffs of up to 100% on the largest buyers of Russian oil passed 86-11 in the Senate and Moscow has rejected every ceasefire since March 2025. He quotes Donald Trump blaming the war on "two people (Putin and Zelensky) that hate each other" — while Lindsey Graham joked hours before his passing, "I can't die now. I still need to do the Russia sanctions."
