In an analysis for ABC, Laura Tingle argues the COP31 talks in Antalya are treading water, with the 1.5°C target conceded as blown and key leaders — including the US nationally, Xi Jinping, Narendra Modi and Mark Carney — absent. She judges the co-presidents' '35 by 35' electrification pledge starkly unambitious and non-binding, while Chris Bowen says meeting it would require quadrupling the pace of electrification and Matt Kean urges Australia to decarbonise its grid and electrify now.