Politico reports that at the COP climate talks in Antalya, diplomats' attention has centered on Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva's reelection in Brazil's October 2026 presidential election — greeted with chants and hailed as vital for the mood — rather than the U.S. midterms, where victorious Democrats stayed notably silent on climate. The article notes deforestation under Lula has hit 40-year lows even as he pursues Amazon oil expansion, and that Politico predicts the Paris Agreement's 1.5-degree goal is now certain to be missed.