40 °C heat extremes are no longer implausible in the Nordic countries - npj Natural Hazards
Rantanen and colleagues, writing in npj Natural Hazards, analysed 7308 simulated summers from ECMWF seasonal forecasts and conclude that 40 °C can no longer be considered implausible in the Nordic countries. They estimate a 0.53% annual probability somewhere in the Nordics in 2025, a six-fold rise since 1981, and urge the countries to prepare for peak temperatures beyond the historical record.
