Carbon Brief's guest analysis by Lauri Myllyvirta finds China's CO2 emissions fell 3.1% in the third quarter of 2026, the largest quarterly drop since the 2022 Covid lockdowns, driven by falling coal use, transport oil down 9% amid the Hormuz crisis, and record electric-vehicle sales. He finds it likely clean-power growth will exceed total energy demand growth in 2026, maintaining the structural fall in fossil-fuel use.